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Market Timing

Stock Market Timing Performance Charts

Welcome to our market timing performance charts. Included below are charts of the information on our trades. This information includes both trades that we have actually made and trades that we made only on paper.

The first chart will be for trades that are still being held, the second will show trades that we made and that are now closed, the third chart will be trades that fit our criteria, but these trades will only be on paper and the fourth chart will show the results of the paper trades.

To take a look at the price charts go to BigCharts.com. You can see when we bought and sold.

Please do not take our actions as recommendations for you to buy and sell stocks. I am experimenting with different stock investing systems and am not in any way recomending any system or stocks.



Various Experiments in Market Timing

Open Trades

Entry DateSymbolEntry Price
May 9AIG41.15
May 12PBI37.00
May 14MPG16.34
May 28WFC26.81
May 29NOK28.08
May 29VOD32.06
May 30LEH36.98


Closed Trades

Entry DateSymbolEntry PriceExit DateExit Price% Profit/Loss
Mar 14SSO63.53Mar 1865.65+3.3%
Mar 18VO66.68Mar 2566.68+3.6%
Mar 19VEU51.07Mar 2653.42+4.6%
Mar 24VFH49.90Mar 2746.73-6.3%
Mar 19VPU78.37Mar 2878.67+0.4%
Mar 24VCR51.19Mar 2848.93-4.4%
Mar 14VB60.08Mar 2861.66+2.6%
Mar 24VGT52.30Mar 3150.70-3.1%
Mar 26DBC36.78Mar 3135.45-3.6%
Mar 31ANR43.27Apr 141.00-5.2%
Mar 25VGK68.06Apr 270.71+3.9%
Mar 18XOM87.53Apr 1089.23+1.9%
Mar 31NLR29.85Apr 1530.99+3.8%
Mar 31PPH69.79Apr 1570.66+1.3%
Mar 31CLR30.97Apr 1641.59+34.3%
Apr 10IYR67.20Apr 1769.09+2.8%
Apr 2PXQ15.22Apr 1815.63+2.7%
Apr 10IWN67.48Apr 1869.17+2.5%
Mar 24VIS69.54Apr 2170.81+1.8%
Apr 7VOX64.29Apr 2465.15+1.3%
Apr 2XLV31.49Apr 2831.91+1.3%
Apr 7VCR51.032Apr 3051.83+1.6%
Apr 16GTLS40.20May 139.01-3.0%
Apr 4KBE41.01May 243.30+5.6%
Apr 10PZI13.64May 213.84+1.4%
May 9ROK53.79May 2857.85+7.5%
May 14CFC4.91May 295.50+12.0%


Open Paper Trades

Entry DateSymbolEntry Price


Closed Paper Trades

Entry DateSymbolEntry PriceExit DateExit Price% Profit/Loss
Mar 13DUG37.62Mar 1438.89+3.4%
Mar 14SDP61.94Mar 2463.62+2.7%
Mar 13VCR48.63Mar 2451.42+5.7%
Mar 13FCX102.90Apr 7106.54+3.5%
Mar 13COP78.41Apr 1682.05+4.6%
Apr 11GEOI17.25Apr 1815.70-9.0%


The trades below were made with one particular timing system. Results were not bad, but I did not like using this system.



20,50,200 Day Moving Average Timing System

Open Trades

Entry DateSymbolEntry PriceEarly StopPrevious High

These last three purchases were bought and then went down immediately. I decided not to stop them out at a loss since the market has been moving up and down so much. We'll wait and see if I can get out of these two ETF's at a profit over the next couple of weeks.

Closed Trades

Entry DateSymbolEntry PriceEarly StopPrevious HighExit DateExit Price% Profit/Loss
Feb 15SIRI3.253.163.91Feb 183.12-4.0%
Feb 8VAW83.2982.092.0Feb 2988.00+5.7%
Feb 12MON115.87114.0129.29Feb 29118.19+2.0%
Feb 19VDE107.688106.7116.5Feb 29110.49+2.6%
Feb 15BHP69.9268.587.5Mar 472.09+3.1%
Feb 18GDX49.426348.754.23Mar 452.32+5.6%
Mar 7EFZ81.2980.3085.50Mar 1181.50+0.3%
Mar 6SRS*122.67114.50138.00Mar 12108.31-11.7%
Mar 6EUM*79.2377.0086.50Mar 1272.24-2.5%
Mar 13SIJ68.0871.50Mar 1961.99-8.9%
Mar 12EWZ83.0282.0088.20Apr 783.91+1.1%
Mar 12NLR32.35May 932.44+2.7%


Open Paper Trades

Entry DateSymbolEntry PriceEarly StopPrevious High


Closed Paper Trades

Entry DateSymbolEntry PriceEarly StopPrevious HighExit DateExit Price% Profit/Loss
Feb 26IHI58.7258.4062.39Feb 2858.28-0.7%
Feb 22RSX48.9348.6554.00Feb 2948.10-1.7%
Feb 27CGW24.3824.0026.7Feb 2923.86-2.1%
Feb 29BLV77.2276.7079.00Mar 476.40-1.1%
Feb 20EWC31.0030.2536.2Mar 1030.77-0.7%
Feb 29SCC95.6492.00102.5Mar 1199.65+4.2%
Mar 4EEV82.6080.50100.00Mar 1182.600.0%


* They say you have to learn from your mistakes and I learned something from these two trades. I was away from a computer on March 11th so I had set a stop/limit loss on these two ETF's, but they opened under the lower stop limit and did not sell. Thus, I held the ETF's while the price continued to drop for the entire day. What did I learn? The next time I'll be away from a computer for the day I'll either sell and take profits or set the stop without a limit.




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